News From the Grain Floor 01/27/12

Good morning

 

February options expire today at 115 pm CST (see below for open interest)

 

Overnights

SH unchanged

CH up 4 ¾

WH down 1

SMH down .70

BOH down 12

RRH down 1.50

 

Overnight Volume

SH 7,460

CH 17,166

WH 7,059

SMH 1,828

BOH 5,112

RRH 17

 

Early Calls

Beans 1-2 higher

Corn 4-5 higher

Wheat 1-2 lower

Meal .50-1 lower

Bean oil 5-10 lower

Rice 1-2 lower

 

Crude up Dollar higher

 

Nikkei down .09%

Hang Seng up .31%

 

Greek debt talks close to making an agreement. Italian auction positive

 

Tensions in Iran continue. May disrupt oil supply

 

China , Vietnam, and Taiwan returns back to the market on Monday

 

Palm oil up 4

 

Malaysian January palm oil exports estimated at 1.3 M vs. 1.5 M in December

 

USDA reported Unknown bought 133,200 US wheat for ‘11/12 shipment (including 70,700 HRW , 36,100 Soft , and 26,400 HRS)

 

USDA reported Mexico bought 170,200 US corn for ‘11/12

 

South Korea NOFI bought 110K US corn for May/June shipment

 

South Korea bought 110K optional origin feed wheat for June/July shipment

 

South Korea has bought 458K tons of corn and 555K tons of feed wheat since January 6th.

 

Japan bought 150,191 wheat for March shipment Breakdown:

  • 52,928 tons of Dark Northern Spring US wheat
  • 46,773 Western Red Spring Canadian wheat
  • 50,490 tons of Australian white wheat

 

Egypt bought 31,287 tons of edible oils for Feb/March shipment

 

Thailand bought 180K Brazilian meal this week for July/Sept shipment

 

Thailand bought 60K Australian feed wheat this week

 

Iraq seeks 50K any origin wheat excluding US and Romania

 

Export demand expected to pick up next week as China, Vietnam and Taiwan return from holiday

 

Vietnam expected to seeks 300K optional origin meal for March/April shipment

 

Vietnam expected to seek 150K Australian wheat for March / April shipment

 

Buenos Aires Grains Exchange yesterday estimated Argentina’s ‘11/12 bean crop at 46.2 M vs. 49.2 M in ‘10/11 and Argentina corn crop at 22 M vs. 22.1 M in ‘10/11

 

Corn basis weaker today but still strong

 

Good farmer movement in corn and beans yesterday

 

Weather improving in Northern and Southern Brazil

 

Rains is forecast for Argentina over the weekend and early next week

 

Extremely cold temps in weekend forecast for Russia and the Ukraine . Warmer temps in forecast for late next week

 

Concerns about winter kill in Russia and Ukraine

 

TALK continues – Russia may curb wheat exports

 

Feb opts open interest

  • CG 630 calls 4978 contracts open
  • CG 640 Calls 5890 contracts open
  • CG 650 calls 9268 contracts open
  • CG 630 puts 3895 contracts open
  • CG 640 puts 4513 contracts open
  • CG 650 puts 5651 contracts open
  • SG 1200 calls 4118 contracts open
  • SG 1220 calls 2147 contracts open
  • SG 1200 puts 2939 contracts open
  • SG 1220 puts 1826 contracts open
  • WG 650 calls 3318 contracts open
  • WG 650 puts 1308 contracts open

 

Thank you,

 

Kate Rosenberg

Kate Rosenberg | Grain Desk Manager